BIDU Earnings History: 93.8% Beat Rate and What the Data Says About Trading It
Baidu reports next on May 20, 2026, 43 days out. The market treats BIDU as a volatile China tech name, but the actual earnings record tells a more specific story. Here is what the numbers show.
The Beat Rate
BIDU has beaten earnings estimates in 15 of its last 16 quarters. That is a 93.8% beat rate, one of the highest in the dataset. One miss across 16 quarters is not noise. It points to a management team that consistently sets guidance below what it can deliver.
What Happens After a Beat
When BIDU beats, the stock moves up the next day 46.7% of the time. The average next-day move after a beat is 0.53%. Beating does not guarantee a green open. BIDU clears the bar often, but the market prices that in before the print more often than not.
The Pattern
Three things stand out in the BIDU earnings history. The 93.8% beat rate is unusually high and consistent, not a recent run of luck. The 46.7% next-day up rate after beats means the stock sells the news nearly as often as it rallies. The single miss in the dataset produced a down day 100% of the time, making misses rare but directionally clean.
What This Means for Traders
BIDU is not a beat-and-rip setup. A 46.7% next-day up rate after beats is a coin flip, not an edge worth pressing on direction alone. The real signal is on the miss side: 100% of misses produced a down day, so the asymmetry cuts hard against holding through a negative surprise. Going into May 20, use ChartOdds data to track whether the setup and options pricing reflect the actual historical odds before sizing a position.
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