GE Earnings History: 93.8% Beat Rate and What the Data Actually Says
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GE Earnings History: 93.8% Beat Rate and What the Data Actually Says

April 8, 2026·4 min read·ChartOdds

GE Aerospace reports next on April 21, 2026. That is 14 days away. Before you trade around it, you need to know what 16 quarters of GE earnings history actually say.

The Beat Rate

GE has beaten earnings estimates in 15 of its last 16 quarters. That is a 93.8% beat rate. For a large-cap industrial in a competitive sector, that level of consistency is rare. The GE earnings beat rate puts it among the most reliable reporters in the market.

What Happens After a Beat

This is where the GE earnings odds get counterintuitive. Despite beating 93.8% of the time, the stock only closes higher the next day 33.3% of the time after a beat. The average next-day move following an earnings beat is -1.06%. The market prices in the beat before GE delivers it.

When GE does miss, the stock does not reliably sell off either. The historical after-miss down rate is 0.0%, meaning there is no consistent directional follow-through even on the rare miss.

The Pattern

A 93.8% beat rate paired with a negative average post-beat move points to one thing: the good news is already in the price by the time earnings drop. GE is a widely covered, well-modeled stock. Analysts do not miss often, and neither does GE.

The data also shows that the miss scenario offers no reliable short setup. With only one miss in 16 quarters and zero consistent next-day down moves after a miss, fading GE on a bad print has not been a repeatable edge.

What This Means for Traders

First: do not size into a long expecting a pop. The GE earnings beat rate is 93.8%, but the stock only rises the next day 33.3% of the time after a beat. The beat is nearly certain. A green close the next day is not.

Second: the average post-beat move of -1.06% is a directional lean worth respecting. Selling into pre-earnings strength has historically been the better trade, not buying the announcement.

Third: with the report on April 21, you have 14 days to build your setup. Should you trade GE earnings? The data says the edge is not in buying the beat. Run the full GE earnings history and probability breakdown on ChartOdds before you commit to a position.

See the Data

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